Board Thread:News and Announcements/@comment-25868382-20150425035113/@comment-24577221-20150427043830

Now, if that was 53 tries with 10 torches lit, then I would be a bit surprised. If the effect of the torches is an extra 1% chance per torch, straight, then 53 tries would give you about a 99.5% chance of success. Still not 100%, but your odds would be much, much better. But the point I'm trying to make is that coincidences, and runs of good and bad luck, do happen, and you would need far more trials before you could prove anything about the chances in general. I had more success in breeding Reebros than any of the other Ethereals; the Humbug took me far more tries than any other the others.