Thread:MistofMists/@comment-24577221-20190306052144/@comment-31797469-20190413174145

You strike a very good point. I'm thinking I should be able to calculate the minimum number of tries based on the amount of eggs in Celestials and Wublins filled up to and including November (up to that point it had never happened), and then count the Celestials I have filled since then (where it has happened now 4 times). From that we can calculate the probability that those samples are taken from the same distribution, which I predict to be very, very low.