Board Thread:News and Announcements/@comment-15992106-20130904013742/@comment-7326455-20130906214321

500% of 1% is 5%, not 6%.

Olearyck wrote: the odds of getting at least one ghast during the weekend is just over 40%. (same for the reebro because trox is also on air island). For grumpyre, the odds are just over 30% Helloooo, binomial probability theory. The probability of at least one success after eight attempts at 5% probability is 33.7%. After six attempts, it's only 26.5%. A bit better than 1/3 and 1/4 respectively.