User blog comment:DemEyes/On randomness and fairness/@comment-24577221-20170902194212

Here's some data for you. I've talled the current totals of my "minions'" success rates at breeding Reebros and Grumpyres, with 10 torches lit, results combined. There are 398 successes in 3834 tries, and the distribution of results is:



As you see, it's pretty bell-shaped. It's what I'd expect to see if the process really was completely random, rather than shaped in some way for "fairness".